Archive for December 5th, 2006

12-5-2006 Daily Trading Lesson

If at First You Don’t Succeed…

Today’s lesson highlights a series of scalps that I attempted around lunchtime. Ranging days like today tend to be ideal for small-scale fades & divergence plays.

What made today a little different than a normal ranging day was how the NYSE-TICK was spending very little time below the 0-Line (this typically only happens on strong trending days). Since price wasn’t responding in kind, it therefore became quite profitable to use the 0-Line as a guidepost to look for potential market direction changes.

What initially alerted me to this play was that the TICK had fallen under the 0-Line. All I had to do then was wait for a 55-tick TRIX Divergence and go long.

I got just such a signal at A and went long with a stop under the most recent low. Not long afterwards I was stopped out as price continued to drop. But then a second & even more powerful signal showed up & and it earned back all that I lost and more. The converging signals were:

1.) Another 55-Tick TRIX Divergence
2.) 55-TICK Positive Trendline Cross (not the trendline shown here, but visualize one drown from the 798 peak to the 797 peak)
3.) A 610-tick TRIX Divergence in the making (It hadn’t quite turned yet, but was just on the verge)
4.) NYSE-TICK Higher pivot low coming up from below the 0-Line (this was gold)

A key point to keep in mind here is the importance of remaining flexible. After the failure of the initial scalp setup (and a perfectly legitimate trade at that) tt would have been very easy for me to have fallen into the trap of licking my wounds, becoming over-cautious, and thus missed out on the subsequent trade which more than indemnified me from the first loss. Grant it, this kind of flexibility is not always easy to achieve, even for the most experienced of traders, but it still nonetheless necessary.

12-05-2006 Trading Review & Analysis

Up, down, up, down, up, down. Not only does that describe the movement of the markets today, but also that of my PnL statement as well.

I started the day well with a couple of really solid trades that quickly netted .66 R-Units. I then made another solid trade but it didn’t go my way putting me in a -.33 R-Unit hole. After this, I went on tilt a little and made a couple of questionable trades that put me in an even bigger hole.

I was able to regroup however and managed to trade pretty well for the remainder of the day finishing the day with a net profit of $5.00 :-)

Today was the first day after having gone 100% live that I felt confident enough to make my 2t & 2tr scalp plays. I really should have used them more today as it was a very low volatile day in which scalping for a couple ticks is ideal. I still have a lot of fear to overcome as I continue to stretch and get to a point where I’m as comfortable trading in 100% live mode as I was with the simulator.

I don’t feel like I’m there yet, but I do feel like I am making progress towards that end. Technically speaking, it should actually be easier for me to make money in live trading than in simulated trading as the simulator was intentionally set up to give me worse fills & greater slippage than I ever receive trading live. As always, time will be the ultimate clarifier.

Consecutive Days Hitting Net Daily Goal: 0
# Days Hitting Goal out of Last 20 (with goal of 16/20) : 2/4
Weekly PnL (Stop = -6.66) : +.80
Total PnL this Reset (Stop = -10.00) : -2.00R-Units

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