Archive for October 27th, 2006

10-27-2006 Trade Review of the Day

Not Ready to Fill the Gap Yet

Normally, I’d be looking for a gap fill type of rally after a gap like the one this morning. But the gap this morning took out a pretty major trendline on the 15 & 60-minute charts. this was the first sign of serious weakness. The second was when price failed to break higher from the pre-market range.

After it broke down, i drew the FFF- lines and saw that we were still a great distance away from completing the second leg of the downward movement. The very low up-volume on the consolidation lent even more credence to my belief that we were in for some more downward movement.

I entered on the false pivot circled at 776.30. Though it initially moved against me, I wasn’t too much worried as A.) there still was no pickup in volume & B.) I had my stop above a nice resistance level 1.50 points away. Within the blink of an eye price collapsed and I exited a couple minutes after entry with a 1-point profit.

This was a very conservative exit as it was almost a full point away from my FFF Target Line but after last week’s review of all of the trades I have made this year I have noticed that I am a consistent loser between 9:30-10:00am E.S.T. With this knowledge I am trying to make a conscious effort to be more conservative (both in position size and in profit taking) during the times that I have performed the worst and be more aggressive during those times when I historically perform the best.

Thus, if I can secure ANY profit during times when I historically lose money, that will make my job all that much easier when my most profitable trading times roll around. Its been a small change, but seems to be having a signficant impact on my results this past week. Its something we should all take a close look at now and then. It only takes a second to calculate but can save us a lot of grief by keeping us out of losing trades during the times when the our style (psychological or system-related) are not best in-tune with the market.
 
 

10-27-2006 Trading Results & Analysis

 
 
I could get used to this. Today finished off the first perfect week I’ve ever had. By perfect, I don’t mean to say that I didn’t have any losses but that I managed to meet my Net Daily Goal every day without once hitting my daily stop loss limit.

It sure makes this whole nightly analysis go by a lot quicker too when you have 5 or less solid trades with no real mistakes. If I can go 4 more days in a row then I’ll finally achieve my goal of 10 consecutive winning days marking the beginning of my 100% live-mode trading with only limited Sim Trading. Up to this point I’ve been operating pretty much in the oposite mode predominantly trading in Sim mode with only limited, high-opportunity live trading.

With the recent implementation of both Market Delta & Flash Formation Fractals I am starting to feel like a complete trader for the first time. I suppose time will tell soon enough : – D
 
 

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