Archive for October 17th, 2006

Short the Market in Your IRA with these ETFs

This post is as much for my benefit as for anyone else’s as I have recently discovered the ProShares ETF series. As you probably know, you are not allowed to short securities in your IRAs or 401(k) plans. No biggie when the market’s going up, but when the markets are going down, it’d be nice to have another option other than cash.

Enter the ProShares ETFs. There are 8 of them that I’m aware of, you can read more about them on the AMEX Website Here.

The three that I’ll point out here are the:
QID: Which is the ETF symbol that goes up when the Nasdaq goes down
SDS: Which is the ETF symbol that goes up when the S&P 500 goes down
DDM: Which is the ETF symbol that goes up when the Dow goes down

I was going to just write these down for reference purposes in my trade log, but figured it’d be just as useful if I posted them here. Hope it helps.
 
 

Swing Trade Watchlist for week beginning 10-16-2006

Here is my Swing Trade Watchlist for this week.

This list is powered by StockTickr. Learn more.

10-13-2006 Review of Day

I did not make any trades today. I meant to I really did, but I became very absorbed in what I was doing and before I knew it I had worked through lunch and the trading day was over. Although I didn’t make any trades, today was hardly a wasted day, in fact it was probably one of my most productive in a long time.

As many of you know, I started trading in the equities markets and only recently switched over to trading futures exclusively. Part of the reason I wanted out of the equities market was because it was just taking me too many hours (anywhere from 2-4) scanning the markets, pulling up charts, and doing research each night. So I spent my day today working on a Radar Screen stock screener tailored to meet my style and the plays I look for.

It is a work in progress and I’ll go over the kinds of plays that the screener locates in future posts. But for now I’ll post what I have and let you have a look for yourself.

This particular scan was done on the 15-minute interval. In short the screener is great at finding potential Price Divergence plays and stocks that have recently hit new highs/lows and are consolidating. I gotta run now, but I’m excited about the potential to finally start taking advantage of some opportunities in the equities markets again.
 
 

10-12-2006 Trade Review of the Day

Momentum Shift and Consolidation Breakout

Given that my Tick % Indicator had spent practially the entire day above 90% (above 99% in fact), the trend was decisively up and short plays should only be considered in the rarest of circumstances.

This is just a pretty standard momentum breakout play that often occurs on days like today. This was my final trade of the day as I had been laying back during much of the day looking for just the right spot to get the last few R-Units that I needed to hit my daily goal.

When I saw the TRIX & price retracing in such an orderly manner, my ears went up and all I could do was wait for the signal. It came at 4:23 as Price closed right at the upper portion of the trendline, at which point I placed buy stop right above the prior bar’s high.

The converging factors were quite impressive when taken altogether: Price & Trix had a trendline break (TL+), the momentum on the squeeze indicator also rolled over while at the same time the $TICKs were pushing higher. The entry was the easy part. What I dwelled over was whether or not to stay in and go for a much bigger move or simply to be happy hitting my daily goal.

I opted for the second choice and closed the position right under the prior high for the day. A wuss perhaps, but I’ve been burned way too many times on “the last trade of the day” that “SHOULD” have pushed me over my daily goal. So if I can get myself content with simply and consistently hitting my daily goal, then over time I will then be able to raise that goal instead of haphazardly deciding that today I’ll go for twice that amount…But it sure is hard some some day…
 
 

10-12-2006 Trading Results & Analysis


 
 
I went 3 for 4 today in hitting my Net Daily Goal of 1.20 R-Units. That was some late day move today. I wussed out on my last trade though & exited my position once I reached my N.D.G. instead of sticking around and catching some more of the subsequent 8 point move! But it is always easy to find reasons for regret. However, for now my plan is to hit my 1.20 R-Units and pack it up for the day. So to that end I am pleased.