Given the market action today I should have managed to do much better than I did. I did hit my daily trading target this morning pretty early on. I then switched to simulation-mode to practice my skills for the rest of the day and proceeded to make poor decision after poor decision.
The biggest recurring problem I noticed in this evenings analysis of all my day’s trades is that of mistaking a channel continuation breakout for a trend change.

I made this same mistake 3 times today! What happens is after an extended move in one direction or another, the price will often drift in the opposite direction in a rising or falling channel. Then I’ll get sucked into going with the apparent “breakout” in the opposite direction which is actually only a continuation of the channel. And as such, it soon reverses as it approaches the upper limit of that channel and I get stopped out.
While it is true that this play is similar to the legitimate TXD+ play that I’ll occassionally take, the difference is that no TRIX correction has yet taken place. Which means that until the situation is resolved in a definitive direction, it should continue to be treated as a channel, no matter how much you want for it to change direction~!
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August 14th, 2006
Jason
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