Archive for May, 2006

Excellent Trading Setup

Hubert Senters laid out a very simple & effective trading setup in his video last night so I thought I’d share.

Here’s the link to the video:
http://clicks.aweber.com/z/ct/?2P0g5vqIWnGjDv2GoYKdMw

Basically the setup entails waiting for a $TICK reading of -1000 during a time when the Put/Call Ratio is above 1.00. This is the buy setup. Works well on the Dow Mini (YM) with a 10 point stop. Just one little trick you might try adding to your aresnal.

If you aren’t already using the $TICK to aid decisions, I’d recommend starting. It takes up very little space & provides a wealth of info.

Future Contracts Symbols & Tick Values

In my ongoing effort to learn about the various futures markets, contracts, and their respective values and margin requirements, I have come accross a number of sites with invaluable information.

THIS SITE offers the most comprehensive list of futures contracts including the exchange they trade on, the size of a contract, the months they are traded, as well as the value of each tick movement… The only thing not included is the symbol codes for the various contracts.

The symbols for the various contracts can be found At This Website

I just finished working on a spreadsheet that incorporates the two so that you can have a quick & easy reference for all the major futures contracts that are traded as well as their $ values on a per tick basis plus their symbols for when you want to look up their charts.

It can be Downloaded Here.

A quick note on the symbols. Many of them are both floor traded and electronically traded. The electronic contracts are the ones with parenthesis around them in column A.

How to Day Trade Fed Days

Hubert Senters put out a good, short video yesterday on how to trade the FOMC announcement that will be put out today at 2:15pm.

Here’s the link: http://www.tradethemarkets.com/video/feddayprep/feddayprep.html

How I Pick Stocks Pt1

NOTE*** This post is part of an ongoing project to update my “How I Pick Stocks” page on the sidebar to the left. For every new section/update that I make to the page, I will post addition here as a post as well as amend the page itself so that all the information can be read together.
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It has been quite some time since I updated this page, too long actually. For those of you who have been following my blog for many months now, you’ll know that I’ve been undergoing some pretty drastic changes to my trading methodology as I continue to evolve and grow. For those of you who are just joining us, Here’s What You’ve Missed.

For starters, I am a discretionary trader. But this is not to say that I don’t think you can make money with a well defined and tested mechanical system. It is just that in creating my trading plan, I identified one of my largest strengths as my intuition and ability to pull bits of information from different sources to arrive at a logical conclusion. Were I solely to trade mechanically, I feel as if this strength would be wasted.

I currently trade 3 different timeframes, Swing (hours/days/weeks); Daytrade (minutes/hours); Scalping (Ticks/Minutes).

As building this page will be an ongoing project (for I have much to cover), I will start with my Scalping Technique for it is something that traders of all levels and capital-limits can do successfully. Plus, it will provide the structure from which a better understanding of my day & swing trading techniques can take root.

But before I begin, it is necessary to go over the trade setup and indicators I use and how I use them.

It will likely take me many days to get through this part alone, but it is crucial for understanding my methodology. So first, I will list all the tools that I use and in subsequent posts I will further eloborate on how I use each one.

In no particular order:

  • Candlestick Charts
  • Color Coded Volume
  • 7-Period RSI
  • TRIX
  • Trendlines
  • TRIN (aka: Arms Index)
  • TICK
  • Program Buy/Sells
  • Put/Call Ratio
  • Adv/Decl Issues
  • Adv/Decl Volume
  • 55 & 500 Tick Chart, 2, 5, 15, 60 minute charts, & Daily Chart
  • _BBSqueeze Indicator

  • I use TradeStation for my charts and have all of this set up on 3 monitors

    Here is a Screenshot of each of my monitors:

    My Main Monitor
    Click to Enlarge

    My Second Monitor
    Click to Enlarge

    My Third Monitor for Watching Market Internals
    Click to Enlarge

    I’ll start the process of going over how I use all of these indictors in my next post so stay tuned….



    My Journey as a Trader Pt 2

    S0 I started doing some research into the mechanics of the futures markets as well as the point values of the different contracts that you could purchase. Here is the .pdf of the margin requirements that I found for Tradestation.

    What I found out regarding the advantages of trading the Nasdaq Futures over the QQQQ were astounding. Here’s an example:

    For simplification purposes, lets just say that I had a $25,000 Day Trading Account and when I was trading the QQQQ and wanted to buy 1,000 shares. This would cost me $42,000. Then say that the market moves in my favor by 1.00% during the day. For the QQQQ, this would net $420 and tie up a significant portion of my equity & margin.

    Lets say that I wanted to yield that same $400 in the futures markets, how much money would it take? Well, when day trading futures contracts, you only need to place $1,000 margin down on each NQ futures contract. As of today the contract is trading in the 1720 range. A 1.00% move in the contract would net 17 points per contract. Each point is worth $5 for a total of $86/contract. So in order to yield the same $400, all one needs to do is buy 5 contracts (5 x $86 = $430) but it only costs you $5,000 not $42,000.

    This leaves the rest of your capital in tact to pursue other market opportunities that crop up throughout the day. The downside is that if you are wrong, that leverage can really work against you. So it is imperative that you have a tested and proven method for extracting profit from the markets before ever thinking of trading an account with real money.

    While I have a number of tools that I use to complement my decision, the basic structure that leads to my placing a trade is relatively simple and straight forward. Don’t believe anyone who tells you that trading has to be complicated. It doesn’t. That doesn’t mean it is easy, but the hardest part is fighting the demons within yourself, not the market itself.

    I was able to apply the same methodology that I did when trading the QQQQ to the index futures markets (I now trade mainly the Dow Mini = YM, and E-Russel = ER2 contracts) to catch some trends. My methods have continued to evolve as I have added some indicators to help in my decision while removing others. A great deal of it is just trial, error, and personal preference.

    I’ll be creating a post soon about the exact setup and indicators that I use for trend trading, but at the core of the system is price, volume, some kind of momentum indictor and trendlines. If I had to, I could trade profitably with just Price alone, but these basic indicators, if used properly, can help decisions be made much faster and more accurately. Add in a few properly gauged market internals and different timeframes and you have more than enough info to trade profitably.

    So I was able to trade profitably when the markets were trending, but I’ve always felt as if something was missing. Enter Bill of ViperSpeedTrader.com. Under the tutelage of Bill, I began to learn how to successfully scalp the futures markets. The goal is to go for really small, but high-probability setups that you can use both when the markets are and are not trending to help have a more rounded approach to trading. He showed me that it is ok and entirely profitable to go for really small gains mulitple times a day.

    I trade 2 contracts fo the ER2 going for 2 Ticks = $30 profit after commissions. The trades last anywhere from 2 to90 seconds and I’m out. Depending on how many contracts you are trading, you don’t need a lot of these in a day to really help boost your PnL Statement. If anyone is interested in getting a hold of Bill, I know that he does offer Private and Group lessons. I’ve only been scalping with his method a short period of time, but I can notice a huge difference in my trading already.

    And really that is it. I’m sure that while I will continue to develop and evolve as a trader, this is the first time since I started trading that I feel as if i have a solid foundation upon which to build in each of the areas/timeframes that are important to me (From scalping for seconds, to daytrading from minutes to hours, to swing/position trading from hours/days/weeks.)

    That being said, I have much I need to add to my “How I Pick Stocks” page & will start the process of updating it this week.

    Jason

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