Archive for March 15th, 2006

3-15-2006 Daily Stock Pick Results

Not a good day for my picks at all today. 25% Accuracy is not cool. I have been making some trades that are not in my plan and it is hurting me. I may be overtrading and need to scale back and focus on only the most prime setups.

The 3 wins, BDY, LVS, FMT, were some great picks with some nice FT

MW was just very unlucky as it whipped me in & reversed…It was a solid call though, just one of those breaks

VNT & NGAS were the two plays that stuck out today that are not in my trading plan. NGAS was an interesting little Breakout after yesterday’s psuedo Bottoming Tail but a 1 day drop is not sufficient enough of a reason to take on the risk that I did for this play. It just wasn’t over-extended enough to bring in a lot of buyers

VNT…I don’t know what i was thinking really. It was just a brain fart for I’ve never made this kind of a play before & don’t know what sparked me to today

BWNG too was not a good call. I could have played the breakdown for a really quick pop down as a scalp but my target was betting on it breakout down out of its range…now why would I expect that? Money isn’t made betting on such things, that’s precisely how it is lost. This was a hoper & I got what I deserved here.

On the bright side, I have finally stopped making the dreaded Jump-the-Gun error on entry & exits. I’m clean now going on 4 days & plan on staying that way. It used to be my most costly mistake. My second costliest error was improper order placement with Button Trader. But I finally have my system down as far as that goes and haven’t made any entry errors in quite some time either.

The next demons I need to erradicate are Overtrading & Sticking to the Trades that are in my trading plan. I would consider today a bad day relative to the past couple weeks since I started the new system. But if a bad day is -1 R-Unit, then I guess I can handle that :)

3-15-2006 Daily Stock Picks

Ticker Stop Target Fade / Breakaway L/S Open On Open
AH 57.03 54.31 Breakaway S 56.04
BDY 13.19 13.94 Breakaway L 13.51 13.56
ELN 14.44 15.94 Breakaway L 15.06
MYOG 35.24 38.99 Breakaway L 36.92
TTM 19.53 19.06 Breakaway S 19.94
VNT 20.72 19.21 Breakaway S 20.17 19.96
BKHM 8.66 7.61 Breakaway S 8.19
LVS 49.19 51.74 Breakaway L 50.46
EMKR DT-S
MW 35.67 37.94 Breakaway L 36.66
ICE DT-S
FMT 20.79 22.48 Breakaway L 21.36
BWNG 13.13 11.06 Breakaway S 12.09
BZH Fade DT-S
IDWK DT-L
NGAS 7.34 8.98 Breakaway L 8.16
DHI 32.69 35.74 Breakaway L 34.01
GM 20.64 23.94 Breakaway L 22.00 22.30
UNP 90.41 87.06 Fade S 89.00 88.74
CSX DT-S

For instructions on precisely how to trade using these picks, please CLICK HERE and read the section entitled “White Regions”

 

I’m keeping my options open today as the QQQQ is gapping up slightly this morning right into a classic retest/resistance level, but DIA & SPY Broke out of their ranges yesterday although the volume wasn’t extraordinary.

*** A Note for Today & from this point forward, “On Open” plays are now to be played via a 5 min breakaway or reversal with a stop over the 30 minute high or the high of Pre-Market trading (whichever is higher)…

The new notation for these plays will be that instead of posting “On Open” in the column, I will post the price at which the On Open strategy will become void. So if there is a price in the “On Open” column then the play will be to enter in said direction via a 5-minute bar reversal or breakaway as long as that price is not beyond the price in the “On Open” column. The price in the “Open” column is the price at which the stock was trading pre-market when the call was made.

This may cause me to miss out on some profitable morning entries but right now these early morning plays are the only part of my trading plan that have been losing money. If this fails to correct that, then I will eliminate them altogether, but this should work.

Happy Trading!

Jason

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