
I’m not one who puts a whole lot of emphasis on morning gap plays just for the sake of morning gap plays. I’m looking for 3+ Convergence and if I can find that in conjunction with an exhaustion gap then all the better. This morning was just such an occurence.
After being up decisively over the past 2 days, the market was becoming overdue for a 60-minute correction to some degree. That being said, the ER2 was poised for a possible 15-minute negative price divergence (PD-) going into this morning so I was a little bit cautious.
After this morning’s employment numbers, the ER2 ran higher a full 5 points in the pre-market without much of any kind of meaningful pullback in the interim. This is just the kind of extended move after an already extended market that is ripe for a likely morning gap fill.
The first thing I noticed right at the open was the 610-tick chart that was starting to roll over both in price & in momentum (as measured by the TRIX). The next thing I noticed was the Market Delta chart (not shown) which was clearly showing a great many trades taking place at the bid versus the offer, further indicating downward pressure.
Once the low of the 610-tick reversal bar was broken, I didn’t see any support until the 795.50 area shown. So I went short at 797.10 with a limit buy to cover order open at 795.80, 3 ticks above my target. Sometimes here I would put the cover order at 795.60 or even 795.50, but one of my biggest priorities of every day is to make the first trade a winner as I’ve found that doing so really puts me in a better mindset when going forward to hit my net goal for the trading day. So any trades I make before 10:00 I tend to play much more conservatively for this very reason.
Well a few seconds later I was out with a 1.3 point profit and within another 5 minutes I had hit my target for the day. Gotta love days like today when you only have to work less than 10-minutes!
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November 16th, 2006
Jason
Posted in
Jason,
I have been following your blog recently, and I really like the way you play ER2.
Good job.
Gav
Hi Jason, Nice set-up description and well done. I read your new trading plan (10-27) last night and it looks like you are doing a good job of getting your plan to reflect what you have been learning and putting into practice. A big plus is where you (ENTP) have adopted your personal chararistics into your plan.
This is when you start getting the pay back for the work you are putting into it. Press on and good trading. Regards Richard (just another ENTJ)
Thank you both for your kind words. I have been building up to this point for a long time now and the prospect of going 100% live definitely has me experiencing a number of mixed emotions:
Excitement & Relief: At finally hitting my goal for the first time
Fear: Of unkown emotions and possible failure (at least in the short-term)
Gratitude: For all of those people, whether they know it or not, who have helped me make it even this far
…just to name a few. And Richard, I agree with you about the importance of truly knowing your own personality characteristics and finding an approach that fits it instead of trying to force a style that isn’t right for you. I think that’s part of the self-discovery process that so many traders overlook completely as they are fixated on the next method, guru, or indicator.